FINDING · EVALUATION
21% of all URLs that CensMon began tracking were found accessible on the very first re-probe, indicating initial inaccessibility was a transient network failure rather than censorship. The false-network-failure rate fell to near zero after 3 consecutive tracking attempts, providing a practical threshold for classifying persistent inaccessibility as filtering.
From 2011-sfakianakis-censmon — CensMon: A Web Censorship Monitor · §4.2, Figure 4 · 2011 · Free and Open Communications on the Internet
Implications
- Circumvention tools using server reachability as a blocking signal should require at least 3 consecutive probe failures before treating a proxy as blocked — single-probe failures carry a ~21% false-positive rate.
- Short-interval retry logic (rather than human verification) is sufficient to separate censorship from network noise with high confidence.
Tags
Extracted by claude-sonnet-4-6 — review before relying.