FINDING · EVALUATION
The vast majority of censorship activity occurs within 24 hours of original posting, with some deletions occurring more than 5 days later. Across 11,382,221 posts from 1,382 Chinese social media sites collected in 2011, the average censorship rate is 13%, with rates of 16%, 17%, and 24% in low, medium, and high ex ante political sensitivity topic categories respectively.
From 2012-king-censorship — How Censorship in China Allows Government Criticism but Silences Collective Expression · Data / Collection; Figure 2 · 2012 · American Political Science Review
Implications
- The 24-hour censorship execution window means time-critical collective action communication needs protection at the moment of transmission — most interdiction happens within the first day, so post-publication deletion is the dominant threat model.
- The narrow gap between low (16%) and high (24%) topic-sensitivity censorship rates confirms that pre-filtering by topic is a poor predictor of censor attention; event-driven volume spikes are the key censor trigger.
Tags
Extracted by claude-sonnet-4-6 — review before relying.