Tor, which has minimal commercial footprint and a distinctive network signature, was blocked throughout China using tailor-made GFW countermeasures and lost approximately 85% of its Chinese users as a result. In contrast to GoAgent and VPNs, China's censors can block Tor without significant economic collateral damage, making it uniquely vulnerable despite its strong privacy properties.
From 2013-robinson-collateral — Collateral Freedom: A Snapshot of Chinese Internet Users Circumventing Censorship
· §2 Tool Usage, §3 Collateral Freedom Matters
· 2013
· OpenITP
Implications
Protocols with no commercial footprint cannot rely on economic deterrence; they must achieve technical undetectability via traffic mimicry or steganography, or accept high and growing block rates.
Economic cost to the censor is a more durable protection than technical evasion alone — a protocol the censor is economically constrained from blocking survives even after its fingerprint is known.