Time-series analysis across five ISPs over six months reveals a near-universal stasis in January–February where blocklist changes were negligible for all ISPs, followed by significant fluctuations (e.g., a +20–35% swing in TCP unreachability between February and March for PTCL, Wateen, Qubee, and WiTribe). A ubiquitous drop in TCP-unreachability outcomes occurred December–January, suggesting a seasonal or policy-driven relaxation followed by re-tightening.
From 2016-aceto-analyzing — Analyzing Internet Censorship in Pakistan
· §V-A
· 2016
· Research and Technologies for Society and Industry
Implications
Blocklist composition in Pakistan is dynamic on a monthly timescale; circumvention infrastructure must not hardcode assumptions about which IPs or domains are reachable—reachability probes should be continuous.
Circumvention tools should treat sudden spikes in TCP unreachability as a signal to switch transport rather than retry the same path, since ISP-level policy changes can block entire IP ranges without per-URL granularity.