Syria's 2015 blocklist contained a disproportionately large share of software-related sites because censors applied indiscriminate TLD-based blocking of all .il (Israeli) domain names regardless of content, demonstrating that non-topic-based criteria (country-code TLD, ASN) can sweep in entirely unrelated infrastructure and are detectable only through anomaly spot-checks rather than content analysis.

Survival analysis of 423,265 pages with Wayback Machine histories shows pages on politically controversial topics have substantially shorter lifetimes than those on uncontroversial topics; topic change — not just page deletion — must be treated as 'death' for probe-list purposes, since a page that switches topic no longer contains the sensitive material that made it censorship-relevant.

§6.1 evaluation

China's Great Firewall adds sites to its blacklist within hours of their becoming newsworthy and drops them again just as quickly; conversely, Pakistan's pornography crackdown used a rarely-updated blocklist, causing 50% of consumption to shift to unlisted sites. An outdated probe list will therefore underestimate GFW effectiveness and overestimate effectiveness in countries with static lists.

§1 detection

Analysis of 758,191 URLs across 22 probe lists found near-zero URL-level Jaccard similarity between nearly all list pairs (most < 0.01), including between country blacklists; even at hostname level, blacklists share little with each other or with researcher-curated lists like ONI's 12,107-URL list, indicating that any single probe list systematically misses large portions of what is actually censored.

§3.3, Tables 1–2 evaluation

Topic correlation analysis across 2,904 list-topic pairs (585 significant after Bonferroni correction at α = 0.05) shows social media is disproportionately represented in country blacklists relative to the broader web; video-sharing sites are also frequently blocked, likely to suppress political organization, copyright infringement, or competition with local businesses.

§7.1, Table 3 detection

The June 2025 Iran shutdown—carried out during the Iran-Israel war beginning ~June 19—did not use BGP route withdrawals as in 2019. Instead, authorities applied service-level restrictions at the national border: DNS poisoning of foreign destinations, protocol whitelisting permitting only pre-approved domestic services, and DPI to block circumvention-tool traffic. Iran's international traffic fell roughly 90% while the country's BGP routes remained advertised, making the shutdown invisible to BGP-based monitoring systems. OONI measurement volume, which totalled 121,333 in June 2025, collapsed to under 200 submissions on June 19-20.

2025-iran-shutdown-measurement Executive Summary / §2 dpidns-poisoningport-blockingip-blocking

Article 19 documents that Iran's National Information Network (NIN / SHOMA) was designed with explicit reference to China's Great Firewall as a model, with institutional mirroring: Iran's Supreme Council of Cyberspace parallels China's Cyberspace Administration of China, and both governments share a "cyber sovereignty" doctrine used to justify domestic content controls and cross-border technology transfer. The report frames Iran's filtering infrastructure as deliberately architected to replicate GFW capabilities, not as an independently developed system.

2026-article19-tightening-the-net §2, §3 dpisni-blockingdns-poisoningip-blockingbgp-hijackthrottling

Article 19 documents that Iran combines technical filtering with formal coercion of major foreign platforms (including Telegram, Instagram, and WhatsApp) to comply with content removal orders under threat of full blocking. The report notes that Iran's 2022 Women Life Freedom protests accelerated platform blocking when foreign operators refused compliance, demonstrating that the censorship system operates in two modes: coerce-and-allow for compliant platforms, block for non-compliant ones. Domain fronting via these platforms is therefore subject to sudden revocation if political conditions change.

2026-article19-tightening-the-net §6 ip-blockingdns-poisoningthrottling

Brussee measures a systematic pattern of Chinese government websites actively blocking access from outside China (the "reverse Great Firewall"), publishing a CSV dataset of affected domains (available at zenodo.org/records/18172145). The paper frames this outbound geo-blocking as a cybersecurity-motivated practice — Chinese authorities classify foreign access to domestic government infrastructure as an attack surface — distinct from the inbound information control goal of the GFW.

2026-brussee-reverse-great-firewall §3, §5 ip-blockingasn-blackholing

Brussee develops a conceptual framework distinguishing two logics of government geo-blocking: (1) information control (blocking inbound foreign content from domestic users) and (2) data sovereignty / attack-surface reduction (blocking outbound access by foreign actors to domestic systems). Chinese government site blocking of external IPs is motivated primarily by the second logic, creating an asymmetric internet topology where CN citizens cannot reach the outside world, and outside actors cannot probe CN government infrastructure.

2026-brussee-reverse-great-firewall §2, §4 ip-blockingasn-blackholing

ShieldShare demonstrates that an Android application can route all hotspot-client traffic through a VPN tunnel without root access by using a SOCKS5/HTTP/HTTPS proxy layer between the hotspot and the VPN, with per-client traffic accounting and quota management. The system works because Android's native hotspot does not forward VPN routing tables to connected clients; ShieldShare interposes a proxy that handles this. Released as open-source.

2026-edorh-shieldshare §Abstract ip-blocking