Capturing as little as 30 seconds of a multimedia-tunneling flow is sufficient for XGBoost to reach the same AUC achieved with a 60-second window (AUC=0.99 for Facet s=50%, AUC=0.95 for DeltaShaper h320×240, 8×8, 6, 1i at 30s). Classification performance degrades monotonically below 30 seconds, reaching AUC≈0.81 (Facet) and 0.75 (DeltaShaper) at 1 second.

CovertCast — which scrapes web content into colored-matrix frames broadcast over YouTube live streams — is fully detected by the χ² similarity classifier with TPR=100% and FPR=2%. The KL and EMD classifiers achieve TPR>96.5%, indicating the system provides essentially no unobservability in practice.

§3, Table 1 detection

Feature importance analysis of XGBoost models reveals that Facet covert channels are identifiable primarily through packets in the 115–195 byte range (dominated by Skype audio packets), while DeltaShaper is identifiable through two distinct packet-length clusters: 85–100 bytes and 1105–1205 bytes. XGBoost assigns non-zero importance to only ~58% of the 300 quantized packet-length bins for Facet and ~42% of 600 bins for DeltaShaper, indicating that leakage is concentrated in a narrow portion of the packet-size distribution.

§4.4, Figure 4 detection

Unsupervised and semi-supervised anomaly detection methods (OCSVM, Isolation Forest, shallow autoencoders) perform near-random when attempting to detect multimedia protocol tunneling: OCSVM achieves average AUC between 0.518–0.584 across all tested configurations, Isolation Forest between 0.519–0.557, and autoencoders reach a maximum AUC of 0.702 only under optimal hyperparameter search. The paper concludes that labeled training data is a hard requirement for effective covert-channel detection.

§5, Table 5 detection

Decision tree classifiers (XGBoost) can flag 90% of Facet multimedia-tunneling traffic while erroneously flagging only 2% of legitimate Skype connections (FPR=2%). Against DeltaShaper at its most conservative configuration (h160×120, 4×4, 6, 1i), XGBoost achieves AUC=0.85, demonstrating that existing unobservability claims for all three systems (Facet, CovertCast, DeltaShaper) were flawed.

§4, Table 3 detection

NATA (Non-invasive Active Traffic-correlation Analysis) injects low-frequency bandwidth waveforms (sinusoidal, square-wave, triangular) into Tor TCP connections at an upstream gateway without endpoint compromise, payload decryption, or Tor-browser modification. BM-Net, a selective state-space classifier trained on the exit-side observations, achieves a 99.65% binary detection F1 score distinguishing watermarked from natural traffic on a 20,000-trace real-world dataset.

2026-fan-activeflowmark-assessing-tor §IV, §VI.D, Table III flow-correlationtraffic-shapeml-classifier

BM-Net achieves a 99.65% binary detection F1 score for distinguishing bandwidth-watermarked Tor flows from natural traffic, outperforming all evaluated baselines (next best: TikTok at 75.96% F1). The accuracy gap stems from active perturbation imposing a deterministic low-frequency throughput constraint rather than relying on subtle natural metadata, making the detection task fundamentally easier than passive website fingerprinting.

2026-fan-activeflowmark-assessing-tor §VI-D, Table III–IV flow-correlationtraffic-shapeml-classifier

BM-Net achieves a 99.65% binary detection F1 score distinguishing watermarked from natural Tor flows, and a 97.5% macro-F1 score for fine-grained modulation classification across sinusoidal, square-wave, and triangular patterns. The fine-grained test set contains 201 held-out samples collected from ten clients across five geographic regions (Europe, North America, Australia, Southeast Asia, East Asia), with training traces including traffic collected under WTF-PAD and Walkie-Talkie defenses.

2026-fan-activeflowmark-assessing-tor §VI-D, Table III, Table V flow-correlationml-classifiertraffic-shape

BM-Net achieves a 97.5% macro-F1 score for fine-grained classification of three modulation geometries (sinusoidal, square-wave, triangular) from noisy exit-side Tor observations using only 201 labeled test samples collected across cross-continental Tor paths. Residual errors concentrate between natural traffic and square-wave modulation, as abrupt low-rate transitions are partially smoothed by Tor multiplexing and network jitter.

2026-fan-activeflowmark-assessing-tor §VI-D, Table V flow-correlationml-classifiertraffic-shape

Fine-grained modulation classification (natural vs. sinusoidal vs. square-wave vs. triangular) achieves 97.5% macro-F1 on a 201-sample held-out test set. Square-wave waveforms are the hardest class (F1 = 95.7%), while sinusoidal and triangular each reach 99.0% F1, because abrupt square-wave transitions are partially smoothed by Tor multiplexing and network dynamics.

2026-fan-activeflowmark-assessing-tor §VI.D.2, Table V flow-correlationtraffic-shapeml-classifier

The host-profiling censor (passive traffic analysis: count connections per server, block those exceeding a threshold τ within a window w) blocks essentially all circumvention user traffic within 30 time steps for all classifier qualities tested (ρ_TP ∈ {0.9, 0.95, 0.99}), while causing far less collateral damage than zig-zag (never exceeding ~30% innocent server blocking). Snowflake resists this attack well: with w=3, τ=3, over 94.48% of users receive a proxy within 2 steps even with worst-classifier rules, and final unblocked server rates are 91.24–99.04%. The host profiling approach is feasible for passive censors who cannot enumerate the distribution channel.

2026-fares-game §5.2, Table 2, Table 3 traffic-shapeml-classifier