Once passive analysis flags a connection, the GFW sends seven distinct active probe types in staged sequence: five replay-based (R1–R5, where R1 is an identical replay and R2–R5 alter specific byte offsets to attack stream vs. AEAD cipher variants) and two non-replay random-length probes (NR1, NR2). The system operates in stages: R3/R4/R5 probes are withheld until the server responds to R1/R2, meaning a server with replay protection (like Shadowsocks-libev ≥ v3.3.1) never receives stage-2 probes, while one without (original OutlineVPN) escalates to full probing.

The GFW's passive classifier uses two features of the first data packet to flag probable Shadowsocks traffic: (1) high Shannon entropy (per-byte entropy > ~7 bits strongly correlates with replay probability, which is nearly 4x higher at entropy 7.2 than at 3.0) and (2) packet length in the range 160–700 bytes with specific remainders mod 16. A single data packet after the TCP handshake is sufficient to trigger the downstream active-probing pipeline.

§4.2 detection

The GFW's active probers originate from thousands of distinct IP addresses, but a network-level side-channel (shared IP ID counter sequences) reveals they are controlled by a small number of centralized structures. Probe delay from legitimate connection to first active probe can be as short as 0.28 seconds, ruling out any reactive defense that relies on out-of-band blocking before probes arrive.

§3.3, §3.5 detection

The September 2025 leak of ~600 GB from Geedge Networks and the MESA Lab (Institute of Information Engineering, Chinese Academy of Sciences) is the largest known document disclosure from the GFW vendor ecosystem. It establishes a direct lineage: MESA Lab (founded 2012 by Fang Binxing's team, annual contracted revenue >35M RMB by 2016) spun out Geedge Networks in 2018, with MESA alumni filling key engineering roles (e.g. Zheng Chao as CTO). The leak includes ~64 GB of MESA git repositories, ~35 GB of MESA internal documents, ~15 GB of Geedge internal documents, and a ~3 GB Jira export — providing direct access to source code, work logs, and internal communications behind GFW R&D.

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Internal Geedge documents confirm active contracts to deploy GFW-derived censorship and surveillance infrastructure in Myanmar, Pakistan, Ethiopia, Kazakhstan, and at least one additional unidentified country under the Belt and Road framework, in addition to domestic deployments in Xinjiang, Jiangsu, and Fujian. The exported product (the Tiangou Secure Gateway / TSG line) is not a stripped-down export variant — leaked TSG documentation shows DPI, active-probing, ML classifiers, and granular per-region traffic control rules that mirror the domestic GFW capability set.

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InterSecLab frames the Geedge/TSG export program as the commoditization of national firewall capability: rather than each censor state independently developing detection infrastructure, they contract Geedge for a turnkey system incorporating the cumulative R&D of MESA Lab (>10 years, National Science and Technology Progress Award winners). This structural shift means the marginal cost for an autocratic government to acquire GFW-grade censorship is now a procurement decision, not a multi-year engineering program. The report identifies that Geedge's relationship with the MESA Lab gives customer states indirect access to ongoing academic R&D improvements, not just a static product.

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InterSecLab's 76-page analysis of the Geedge/MESA leak (based on nine months of indexing and translating >100,000 documents) characterizes the Tiangou Secure Gateway (TSG) product line as a commercially deployable detection stack that combines deep packet inspection, real-time mobile subscriber monitoring, active probing, ML-based traffic classifiers, and granular per-region rule sets. TSG is not a research prototype — leaked documentation includes deployment timelines and client government interactions for Kazakhstan, Ethiopia, Pakistan, Myanmar, and one unnamed country, with censorship rules explicitly tailored to each region.

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Justice for Myanmar documents that Geedge Networks supplied Myanmar's military junta with GFW-derived surveillance and censorship infrastructure under Belt and Road frameworks following the February 2021 coup. The deployed system (Tiangou Secure Gateway / TSG) incorporates the same DPI, active-probing, and ML-classifier capabilities as the domestic Chinese GFW, giving Myanmar one of the most technically capable censorship systems in Southeast Asia.

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The paper proposes modeling HCS undetectability as a simulation-based cryptographic distinguishability problem: if traces produced by the real-world HCS channel are computationally indistinguishable from ideal-world application-channel traces (T_HCS ∼ T_simulator), the HCS achieves provable security against any adversary — passive or active. The simulation paradigm is parametric in adversary capability, meaning a single proof covers the full spectrum from passive SNI monitoring to active DPI.

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