Two Iranian ASes apply a protocol allowlist that drops traffic not matching known application-layer protocol patterns (after ~6 packets), independently of the destination IP. Experiments with fresh /26 phantom subnets showed that prefixing Conjure connections with a plain HTTP GET payload evaded this blocking for four weeks, while TLS Client Hello-prefixed and SSH-prefixed connections were blocked within 72 hours (TLS) or 72 hours after port rotation (SSH). HTTP GET on port 80 was the only tested prefix that survived the full experiment window.

An internet-wide scan of 500k IP addresses from an in-country VPS vantage point found TCP establishment-interception injections on 43,479 addresses (8.7% of scanned), with over 70% concentrated in two Akamai ASes (AS16625 and AS20940). The injection pattern — triggered by the first packet sent to these addresses — is consistent with targeted blocking of domain-fronting proxies hosted on Akamai CDN.

§4.1.2 detection

Iran's censorship of refraction-networking proxies (Conjure via Psiphon) is not monolithic: different ISPs independently deploy different techniques and timelines. Over 800 million logged Conjure connections from July 2023–February 2025 across 10+ Iranian ASes show TCI (AS58224, ~33% of traffic) uses packet injection, while MCCI/Hamrah-e Avval (AS197207, ~22%) applies IP-based blocking, and some ASes (Parsonline AS16322, Shatel AS31549) show no proxy blocking at all.

§4 detection

MCCI (AS197207) blocks proxy IPs proportionally to observed connection volume: the more connections a phantom IP receives, the faster it gets blocked. A controlled experiment with a fresh /27 IPv4 subnet divided into 7 /30 sub-ranges with increasing weights confirmed that higher-weighted subnets were blocked first, demonstrating that the censor infers proxy IP reputation from traffic rate rather than from a static blocklist.

§4.2.3 detection

Stage 1 of the detection pipeline uses a lightweight heuristic: restrict analysis to IP addresses in "VPS-dense ASNs," which censors already target for resource-intensive inspection of fully-encrypted traffic. This pre-filter dramatically reduces the search space before applying the more expensive dual-role behavioral analysis. The evaluation was conducted without Stages 1 and 3 due to dataset limitations, meaning the reported 23% recall and 0.18% FPR are conservative lower bounds on the full pipeline's performance.

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Iran's June 2025 shutdown enforced a strict national protocol whitelist: only DNS (UDP/53), HTTP (port 80), and HTTPS (port 443) traffic from Iranian networks to external servers was forwarded; all other protocols—including OpenVPN (UDP/1194), SSH (port 22), and arbitrary TCP/UDP ports—were silently dropped without response by DPI at the border.

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The September 2025 leak of ~600 GB from Geedge Networks and the MESA Lab (Institute of Information Engineering, Chinese Academy of Sciences) is the largest known document disclosure from the GFW vendor ecosystem. It establishes a direct lineage: MESA Lab (founded 2012 by Fang Binxing's team, annual contracted revenue >35M RMB by 2016) spun out Geedge Networks in 2018, with MESA alumni filling key engineering roles (e.g. Zheng Chao as CTO). The leak includes ~64 GB of MESA git repositories, ~35 GB of MESA internal documents, ~15 GB of Geedge internal documents, and a ~3 GB Jira export — providing direct access to source code, work logs, and internal communications behind GFW R&D.

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Internal Geedge documents confirm active contracts to deploy GFW-derived censorship and surveillance infrastructure in Myanmar, Pakistan, Ethiopia, Kazakhstan, and at least one additional unidentified country under the Belt and Road framework, in addition to domestic deployments in Xinjiang, Jiangsu, and Fujian. The exported product (the Tiangou Secure Gateway / TSG line) is not a stripped-down export variant — leaked TSG documentation shows DPI, active-probing, ML classifiers, and granular per-region traffic control rules that mirror the domestic GFW capability set.

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InterSecLab's 76-page analysis of the Geedge/MESA leak (based on nine months of indexing and translating >100,000 documents) characterizes the Tiangou Secure Gateway (TSG) product line as a commercially deployable detection stack that combines deep packet inspection, real-time mobile subscriber monitoring, active probing, ML-based traffic classifiers, and granular per-region rule sets. TSG is not a research prototype — leaked documentation includes deployment timelines and client government interactions for Kazakhstan, Ethiopia, Pakistan, Myanmar, and one unnamed country, with censorship rules explicitly tailored to each region.

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Censorship classifiers and traffic analysis attacks consistently exploit the initial seconds of a proxy connection, where packet-size, inter-arrival-time, and burst features are maximally discriminative. Cited work demonstrates that website fingerprinting classifiers trained solely on the first few seconds of Tor traffic achieve high accuracy, and real-world GFW detection of fully-encrypted protocols also targets early-connection bytes.

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