As of October 2024, 22% (~220K) of Tranco top-1M domains support QUIC; of those, only 12.8% (~28K) are fully QUICstep-compatible (support IP-address migration). However, port-migration support grew 20% in 3 months (26,234 → 31,262 domains from August to late September 2024). Cloudflare hosts 74.6% of QUIC-supporting domains but only 0.2% support connection migration; if Cloudflare enabled it, 87.2% of QUIC-supporting domains would become compatible. Among QUIC-SNI-blocked domains in China (28,458 total), 2,404 (8.45%) support QUIC and 828 (34.4%) of those are QUICstep-compatible today.

QUICstep successfully circumvents the GFW's QUIC SNI censorship (active since April 2024) in live testing. Using an Alibaba VM in mainland China as client and an AWS instance in North Virginia as server, a native QUIC client was blocked after several fetches of youtube.com SNI, while QUICstep consistently succeeded across 50 consecutive fetches. 7 tiktokcdn.com subdomains that were QUIC-SNI blocked were also reliably accessible via QUICstep. The approach routes only QUIC long-header (handshake) packets through a WireGuard tunnel; all subsequent short-header (data) packets travel the native path.

§4.3.2, §3.2.3 evaluation

A censor attempting to block QUICstep by dropping all QUIC connections that arrive without a preceding Initial/Handshake packet would cause significant collateral damage. Analysis of 24-hour campus traces (3,786,050 unique QUIC connections) found 29.1% (1,100,439 connections) lacked QUIC Initial or Handshake packets—representing legitimate connection migration from mobile handoffs and similar events. This high baseline rate means blanket "no handshake" blocking would disrupt roughly 1-in-3 QUIC connections unrelated to circumvention.

§5 (Blocking all QUIC connection migrated traffic) detection

QUICstep reduces proxy (handshake channel) traffic by a median of 93% across 100 tested domains compared to full VPN tunneling. For www.youtube.com specifically, proxy traffic dropped from 3.634 MB (full VPN) to 96 KB (QUICstep), a 97.4% reduction. Page load time improved by up to 84% versus full VPN. Performance gain is greatest when the handshake channel is bandwidth-limited (1–5 Mbps): QUICstep/VPN ratios of 0.07–0.09 at 1 Mbps, 0.34–0.46 at 5 Mbps from London to nearby proxies. Psiphon's free tier (2 Mbps) and Tor (~10 Mbps median) are both well within the bandwidth regime where QUICstep provides substantial gains.

§4.4.3, Fig 7, Table 2 evaluation

Neither China nor Iran directly block ECH ClientHello messages; instead both effectively prevent ECH by censoring encrypted DNS resolvers. China blocks Cloudflare's DoH/DoT resolver (mozilla.cloudflare-dns.com) via SNI-based blocking in TLS and QUIC, causing residual censorship of up to 360 and 180 seconds respectively. Iran blocks both Cloudflare and NextDNS DoH hostnames via DNS block-page injection, TLS TCP RST, and HTTP block pages. Iran cannot analyze QUIC, so DoQ is uncensored and enables ECH in Iran. China's NextDNS IP blackholing affected only one of two resolved IPs, leaving an uncensored path.

2025-niere-encrypted §5, Table 1, Figure 5 dns-poisoningsni-blockingrst-injectionhttp3-quic-block

Censorship enforcement varies dramatically across Iranian ASes. AS58224 (TCI, 3.6M IPs) blocks 89-98% of IPs across DNS injectors and 87.6% for UDP. AS197207 (MCCI, 2.3M IPs) and AS44244 (IranCell, 1.3M IPs) show near-zero censorship (0.15-0.76% across injectors). AS31549 (RASANA, 577k IPs) blocks 97-99% for DNS/HTTP but 64% for UDP. Some IPs— including those belonging to the Iranian President's website and Ministry of Foreign Affairs—are deliberately exempted from bidirectional censorship. Two exempted MFA IPs (109.201.19.184 and 109.201.27.67) appear linked to APT15 (Playful Taurus) C&C infrastructure.

2025-tai-irblock §5.1, §5.2, Table 1 dns-poisoninghttp3-quic-blockip-blocking

Over 2.5 months (Nov 2024–Jan 15, 2025), IRBlock scanned all 11M Iranian IPv4 addresses daily, finding 6.8M IPs subject to DNS poisoning and HTTP blockpage injection, and 5.4M IPs subject to UDP-based traffic disruption. Testing over 700M FQDNs (500M apex domains) revealed 6M banned FQDNs from 3.3M censored apex domains. Of 537 active ASes in Iran, 485 (90.3%) exhibited blocking for at least 25% of assigned IPs. DNS and HTTP censorship overlapped at >99% of censored IPs; UDP blocking was a strict subset of DNS-censored IPs, affecting ~5M addresses.

2025-tai-irblock §5.1, §1 dns-poisoningpacket-injectionhttp3-quic-block

The computational cost of decrypting QUIC Initial packets limits the GFW's throughput: blocking effectiveness drops measurably as cross-border QUIC traffic increases and exhibits a diurnal pattern, falling during China's peak traffic hours. In a controlled experiment, sending QUIC Initial packets at 100–1500 kpps (TTL-limited so they reach the GFW but not end-hosts) caused GFW censorship effectiveness to decrease monotonically with sending rate, while equal-rate random-payload UDP traffic produced no such degradation—confirming the bottleneck is QUIC decryption, not raw bandwidth. A related availability attack using IP-spoofed QUIC Initials from one machine can cause the GFW to drop all UDP traffic between arbitrary Chinese hosts and any foreign endpoint for the 180-second residual window.

2025-zohaib-quic-sni §3.4 / §5 http3-quic-blockdpi

Since April 7, 2024, the GFW decrypts every QUIC client Initial packet at China's national border and blocks connections whose TLS ClientHello SNI matches a QUIC-specific blocklist. Blocking takes the form of dropping all subsequent UDP packets sharing the same (src-IP, dst-IP, dst-port) 3-tuple for 180 seconds—with no RST injection. The GFW applies a source-port heuristic: packets with src-port ≤ dst-port are not inspected, capturing >92% of real QUIC client Initials while processing only ~30% of all UDP traffic. The QUIC blocklist contains 58,207 unique FQDNs (Tranco, Oct 2024– Jan 2025), approximately 60% of the DNS blocklist in size; 33% of blocked FQDNs do not actually support QUIC, suggesting the list was derived from an existing domain-name blocklist rather than live QUIC service discovery.

2025-zohaib-quic-sni §3 / §3.1 / §3.3 / §4 http3-quic-blockdpisni-blocking

The GFW's QUIC censor does not reassemble QUIC client Initial packets that are split across multiple UDP datagrams, nor does it reassemble QUIC CRYPTO frames split within a single datagram. Three practical bypasses follow: (1) send any UDP datagram with a random payload before the QUIC Initial—the GFW uses 60-second UDP flow state and won't inspect a mid-flow packet; (2) fragment the TLS ClientHello SNI across multiple QUIC CRYPTO frames; (3) use an unknown QUIC version number in the first packet (Version Negotiation bypass, payload undecryptable). Chrome independently exploits (2) through its Chaos Protection feature (since 2021) and post-quantum Kyber key-agreement (since v124, Sep 2024), whose larger key sizes force fragmentation across UDP datagrams. As of January 2025, the GFW also does not block ECH-containing QUIC payloads unless the outer (cleartext) SNI is on the blocklist.

2025-zohaib-quic-sni §3.2 / §7 http3-quic-blockdpi