Over 5 days of measurement, 73.04% of connections from Chinese clients to Tor directory servers were blocked server-to-client (stateless SYN/ACK dropping), 16.73% were blocked client-to-server (null routing), and only 0.63% were unblocked. Of all censored Tor directory server connections measured across all regions, 98% originated from Chinese clients.

Approximately 10% of China's IP addresses respond to IPID probes, and 13% of those exhibit globally incrementing IPIDs, meaning roughly 1% of China's total IP address space can serve as passive measurement vantage points with no cooperation from host owners. In contrast, Tor bridge blocking from Chinese clients was observed in 58.91% of server-to-client cases versus 0% for non-China Asia-Pacific clients.

§5, Table 1 evaluation

The GFW blocks Tor primarily via stateless SYN/ACK dropping based on the server's source IP address and port (server-to-client direction, 73.04% of CN,Tor-dir cases). Two specific Tor directory authorities account for 98.8% of client-to-server (null-routed) blocks and 72.7% of error cases, indicating selective deeper blocking of specific IP addresses beyond the common return-path filter.

§5 detection

Using TCP IPID side channels combined with SYN backlog state inference, the authors detect intentional packet drops between two arbitrary Internet hosts without controlling either host. The only requirements are a client with a globally incrementing IPID (~1% of IP space) and a server with an open port; an ARMA model handles autocorrelated noise.

§2 evaluation

Client-to-server packet drops (RSTs from client to server are dropped in transit) indicate the simplest null-routing mechanism: the server's destination IP is null-routed at the censor. The method distinguishes this from server-to-client drops (stateless return-path filtering) and from RST/ICMP injection—cases where the packet is not dropped but a forged termination packet is inserted—which both appear as the 'no-packets-dropped' outcome in the IPID time series.

§2 detection

The June 2025 Iran shutdown—carried out during the Iran-Israel war beginning ~June 19—did not use BGP route withdrawals as in 2019. Instead, authorities applied service-level restrictions at the national border: DNS poisoning of foreign destinations, protocol whitelisting permitting only pre-approved domestic services, and DPI to block circumvention-tool traffic. Iran's international traffic fell roughly 90% while the country's BGP routes remained advertised, making the shutdown invisible to BGP-based monitoring systems. OONI measurement volume, which totalled 121,333 in June 2025, collapsed to under 200 submissions on June 19-20.

2025-iran-shutdown-measurement Executive Summary / §2 dpidns-poisoningport-blockingip-blocking

Article 19 documents that Iran's National Information Network (NIN / SHOMA) was designed with explicit reference to China's Great Firewall as a model, with institutional mirroring: Iran's Supreme Council of Cyberspace parallels China's Cyberspace Administration of China, and both governments share a "cyber sovereignty" doctrine used to justify domestic content controls and cross-border technology transfer. The report frames Iran's filtering infrastructure as deliberately architected to replicate GFW capabilities, not as an independently developed system.

2026-article19-tightening-the-net §2, §3 dpisni-blockingdns-poisoningip-blockingbgp-hijackthrottling

Article 19 documents that Iran combines technical filtering with formal coercion of major foreign platforms (including Telegram, Instagram, and WhatsApp) to comply with content removal orders under threat of full blocking. The report notes that Iran's 2022 Women Life Freedom protests accelerated platform blocking when foreign operators refused compliance, demonstrating that the censorship system operates in two modes: coerce-and-allow for compliant platforms, block for non-compliant ones. Domain fronting via these platforms is therefore subject to sudden revocation if political conditions change.

2026-article19-tightening-the-net §6 ip-blockingdns-poisoningthrottling

Brussee measures a systematic pattern of Chinese government websites actively blocking access from outside China (the "reverse Great Firewall"), publishing a CSV dataset of affected domains (available at zenodo.org/records/18172145). The paper frames this outbound geo-blocking as a cybersecurity-motivated practice — Chinese authorities classify foreign access to domestic government infrastructure as an attack surface — distinct from the inbound information control goal of the GFW.

2026-brussee-reverse-great-firewall §3, §5 ip-blockingasn-blackholing

Brussee develops a conceptual framework distinguishing two logics of government geo-blocking: (1) information control (blocking inbound foreign content from domestic users) and (2) data sovereignty / attack-surface reduction (blocking outbound access by foreign actors to domestic systems). Chinese government site blocking of external IPs is motivated primarily by the second logic, creating an asymmetric internet topology where CN citizens cannot reach the outside world, and outside actors cannot probe CN government infrastructure.

2026-brussee-reverse-great-firewall §2, §4 ip-blockingasn-blackholing

ShieldShare demonstrates that an Android application can route all hotspot-client traffic through a VPN tunnel without root access by using a SOCKS5/HTTP/HTTPS proxy layer between the hotspot and the VPN, with per-client traffic accounting and quota management. The system works because Android's native hotspot does not forward VPN routing tables to connected clients; ShieldShare interposes a proxy that handles this. Released as open-source.

2026-edorh-shieldshare §Abstract ip-blocking