Never-twice avoidance — ensuring no country appears on both the entry leg (source→entry) and exit leg (exit→destination) of a Tor circuit — succeeds for 98.6% of source-destination pairs not in the same country, using only client-side RTT measurements. This directly defeats traffic-correlation deanonymization attacks that require an adversary on both legs of the circuit simultaneously.
From 2017-li-detor — DeTor: Provably Avoiding Geographic Regions in Tor
· §4.2, §6.3.1
· 2017
· USENIX Security Symposium
Implications
Never-twice is substantially more achievable than never-once (98.6% vs. ~75% for the US) because it only requires the entry-leg and exit-leg countries to differ, not that a specific forbidden region be avoided entirely.
Colluding nations (e.g., Five Eyes) can be treated as a single noncontiguous 'country' in the ellipse intersection check — tool designers should expose this as a configurable alliance-avoidance policy.