Containment analysis shows that surrounding China with a 'ring' of decoy routers at AS-hop depth 1 requires covering 161 ASes; depth-2 expands by a factor of more than 23, becoming untenable, while depth-3 is slightly smaller but leaves the majority of the Internet reachable via clean paths. Cutting China off from at least half the Internet would require all 96 of the world's largest ISPs to deploy decoy routers at all exit points simultaneously.

A warden can fingerprint the specific covert destination a Telex user is visiting by comparing observed latency distributions against a pre-built database of covert-destination latencies. With an intelligently filtered database of only 10 distributions (K-S inter-entry threshold 0.8), the AUC is 0.868, and with approximately 12 collected samples the false positive rate drops below 10%. Larger databases (size 50) degrade to AUC 0.537 due to distribution similarity, but threshold-based filtering restores substantial discriminative power.

§5.3, Figures 7, 9 detection

A routing-capable warden can enumerate over 90% of decoy-router-deploying ASes for deployments as large as 4,000 ASes using an intersection-based discovery attack: the warden probes many paths, accumulates a set of 'clean' ASes, and prunes candidate paths until a single 'tainted' AS remains. All evaluated wardens (China, Syria, Iran, Australia, France, Venezuela) achieved roughly equal detection success across all deployment sizes.

§4.1 detection

Under the Cirripede 'random ASes' deployment scenario — where 0.4%–1.0% of ASes deploy decoy routers — routing-capable wardens need only disconnect themselves from 0.85%–3.04% of the Internet to obtain clean (decoy-free) paths to all remaining destinations. Even at 10% Internet-wide deployment, wardens are cut off from only 7%–9% of non-participating ASes on average.

§4.2, Figure 2 detection

A passive timing attack using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test on connection latency distributions reliably distinguishes Telex users from honest hosts: K-S scores against the overt destination max out at 0.26, while scores against covert destinations (even those within 10 ms of the Telex station) range from 0.3–1.0 with a median of 0.7 for nearby servers and 1.0 for Alexa top-100 sites. The attack is effective even for clients 50–250 ms from the Telex station, with no K-S score below 0.26 observed across 40 PlanetLab hosts.

§5.1–5.2, Figures 5–8 detection

Article 19 documents that Iran's National Information Network (NIN / SHOMA) was designed with explicit reference to China's Great Firewall as a model, with institutional mirroring: Iran's Supreme Council of Cyberspace parallels China's Cyberspace Administration of China, and both governments share a "cyber sovereignty" doctrine used to justify domestic content controls and cross-border technology transfer. The report frames Iran's filtering infrastructure as deliberately architected to replicate GFW capabilities, not as an independently developed system.

2026-article19-tightening-the-net §2, §3 dpisni-blockingdns-poisoningip-blockingbgp-hijackthrottling

On March 28, 2022, Russian ISP RTComm (AS8342) hijacked Twitter's IPv4 prefix 104.244.42.0/24 for approximately 45 minutes (12:05–12:50 UTC) and announced it to the global Internet as a blocking measure. The hijack was blunted because Twitter had preemptively registered RPKI route origin authorizations (ROAs) for its prefixes, causing RPKI-validating ASes worldwide to reject the hijacked route.

2023-ramesh-network §4.3 bgp-hijackasn-blackholing

For China (a highly connected, routing-capable adversary), the gossip protocol combined with any symmetric decoy routing design requires only 5 heavyweight downstream stations plus 880 lightweight upstream gossip stations — versus 880 heavyweight stations for purely symmetric designs. Five downstream stations alone impact 78% of routes from Chinese users, while a single downstream station already covers nearly 25% of traffic.

2018-bocovich-secure Table 2 / §3.2 bgp-hijack

Any one of five Indian ASes — each needing control of only its BGP-speaking routers — can individually censor traffic for all ~896 Indian ASes via IP prefix hijacking. For example, AS4755 (Tata Comm.) fake advertisements can impact 955 ASes total (896 Indian + 41 foreign); AS9730 (Bharti Telesonic) requires as few as 7 edge routers to execute such an attack.

2017-gosain-mending §4.3, Table 4 bgp-hijack

If India deployed centralized filtering at its key ASes, approximately 121,931 foreign-origin paths (1.15% of all Internet paths to censored sites worldwide) that transit Indian ASes would experience collateral blocking, affecting non-Indian users in Finland, Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, the US, and elsewhere who have no connection to Indian censorship law.

2017-gosain-mending §4.1, §4.4 ip-blockingbgp-hijack

Through Internet-scale BGP simulation against China, downstream-only decoy routing (Waterfall) with a single decoy AS provides equivalent resistance to routing attacks as a traditional upstream decoy system (e.g., Telex) with 53 decoy ASes. This efficiency gain arises because censoring ISPs can selectively re-route upstream traffic per destination but must re-route all or none of downstream traffic through each provider AS, making downstream-only routing far more expensive to evade.

2017-nasr-waterfall §4.1.1 bgp-hijack