During the June 2025 Iran shutdown, circumvention tool performance diverged
sharply by transport design. Psiphon's multi-protocol architecture sustained
1.5 million concurrent users—roughly one-third of its normal Iranian base.
Lantern's "proxyless" protocol (domain-fronting via CDN, ~40% of Lantern's
Iranian traffic) showed moderate success. Tor usage collapsed during the
blackout but bridge connections surged and rebounded quickly after lifting.
BeePass (serving 500k+ daily users at shutdown onset) used live A/B testing
of port/obfuscation-prefix combinations to probe the censors' blocking
parameters in real time. The Ceno Browser's P2P network grew from 600 active
peers on June 13 to ~8,000 by July 11, indicating that decentralized fallback
paths stayed up even during peak blocking.
From 2025-iran-shutdown-measurement — Characterizing Iran's Phased National Internet Shutdown in 2025: A Progressive and Distributed Action
· §Tool Performance
· 2026
· WWW '26 (Proceedings of the ACM Web Conference 2026)
Implications
Single-protocol tools hit a cliff during shutdown; tools should maintain at least three independent transport fallbacks with automatic in-session switching.
Live parameter scanning (BeePass approach: enumerate port × prefix combinations) is an effective way to find surviving configurations without requiring out-of-band coordination with users.
P2P/decentralized fallback (Ceno model) is uniquely resilient to centralized blocking because there is no fixed server IP or port to target.